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How to Read the Substitution Handicap Betting Odds – A Beginner's Guide

Substitution handicap betting is a lesser-known yet intriguing type of side bet in football. Unlike the main bet types (match result, over/under, Asian handicap, etc.), this bet focuses on predicting the total number of player substitutions made by both teams in a match. In this article, bet win tips will walk you through what this bet type is, how to read the odds, and how to increase your chances of winning.

What is a Substitution Handicap Bet?

In a standard fattest soccer player match, each team is allowed up to three substitutions. If the match goes to extra time, each team is granted one additional substitution. The decision to make substitutions usually depends on tactics, game strategy, or in some cases, injury.

Some matches see both teams using all their allowed substitutions, while in others, teams may choose not to use all their changes. Recognizing this betting potential, reputable bookmakers have introduced a unique side market: substitution handicap bets.

In this type of bet, you're predicting the total number of substitutions, but with a handicap applied—just like in Asian handicap betting. The weaker team is often given a substitution “advantage” in terms of handicap, making the bet more challenging and exciting.

How to Read Substitution Handicap Betting Odds

When this market is available, it will be listed on the odds board provided by the bookmaker top. Here's what to look out for:

Handicap value (number of substitutions given to the underdog team)

Odds for the favorite (handicap giver) and the underdog (handicap receiver)

The handicap number is the key to determining your bet outcome. It dictates the conditions under which one team "wins" the bet. Bookmakers calculate and release these odds very quickly, and not every match will offer this type of bet.

Also, note:

The substitution handicap market can appear for either the first half or the full match

The betting window is short, and the market may close at any time

See more: who is the heaviest soccer player?

How to Determine Win/Loss in a Substitution Handicap Bet

Let’s say the bookmaker sets a 1-substitution handicap in favor of the underdog team. This means the stronger team must make more substitutions by at least 1 for the bet on them to win.

Example outcomes:

Strong team makes 3 subs, weak team makes 0 subs→ Bet on strong team wins, bet on weak team loses

Strong team makes 2 subs, weak team makes 0 subs→ Bet on strong team wins, bet on weak team loses

Strong team makes 1 sub, weak team makes 0 subs→ Draw – the bet is void/pushed

Strong team makes 0 subs, weak team makes 1+ subs→ Bet on underdog wins, favorite loses

The ability to predict which team will make more substitutions isn’t as difficult as it seems. All you need is keen observation of the match and an understanding of team strategies.

Substitutions might be made to:

Preserve a scoreline

Run down the clock

Strengthen offense or defense

React to injuries

Final Thoughts

That wraps up our breakdown of the substitution handicap bet—a simple yet underrated betting market. Whether you’re a seasoned punter or a newcomer, this side market offers a unique opportunity to test your prediction skills. When you spot a bookmaker offering this bet, consider giving it a try.

Just remember: these bets don’t appear often, and they usually close quickly, so be sure to place your wager as soon as the market opens.

Good luck—and may your betting instincts serve you well!